In Figure 1: In the period March 14, 2015 – April 25, 2015 Boko Haram contested the Local Government Areas (LGAs) of Biu, Hawul, Madagali, Damboa, Marte, and Mobbar while being forced out from Abadam, Kala Balge, and Bama. Boko Haram has sustained operations and presence in Askira/Ube, Chibok, Gwoza, and Ngala. However, given the weakened condition of the group that sustained significant losses in personnel, equipment, and operational space since February this year, it is unlikely that the group will be able to maintain territorial control in contested areas. Many of the former Caliphate village areas have been decimated, and no longer able to support its former population currently scattered in host communities and Internally Displaced Person (IDP) camps. The DARK GRAY areas represent Boko Haram controlled/contested areas which were determined by several factors to include: Boko Haram’s capacity to launch offensives against civilian and military targets (RED dots), areas where elections were not hold due to insecurity (which indicates absence of state administrative control), and finally villages that have previously been reportedly seized as part of the Caliphate (BLACK dots) and without any reporting indicating that military forces regained and cleared these areas (BLUE dots highlighted within the Caliphate Tracker BLACK dots).
SOURCE – usfglobalinitiative.org